Tuesday, February 28, 2012

NFL Combine: Looking at Steelers draft prospects

The NFL Combine is taking place in Indianapolis, Indiana and most of the talk has been about Robert Griffin III and his 40-yard dash time. But here I am not focusing on a player that the Steelers aren't targeting at all, I am going to be looking at the players that I feel the Steelers have on their radar for the 24th overall pick of the 2012 NFL Draft.

Dontari Poe, DT Memphis


If the Steelers were to draft Poe, he would be playing the nose tackle position on the Steelers three-man defensive line. In the past few years, the Steelers have spent two first round picks on defensive ends (Ziggy Hood in 2009 and Cameron Heyward in 2011). Casey Hampton tore his ACL in the playoff loss to Denver, so it's very unlikely he will be on the active roster before week seven, the first game he would be eligible to play in if he starts the season on the Physically Unable to Play (PUP) List.

The Steelers have been working on getting younger in the trenches in the past few years, and the last piece they would need on the defensive line is a nose tackle to anchor the defensive line. Poe is the best available nose tackle in the draft and would complete the overhaul on the defensive line. If the Steelers made him their selection, I would be very happy with the pick.

Poe's measurements at the Combine:

  • 6'4"
  • 346 lbs.
  • 32" arm length
  • 9 5/8" hand size
Poe's workout results at the Combine:
  • 40 Yard Dash - 4.98 seconds
  • Bench Press 225 Lbs. - 44 reps (best at the Combine)
  • Vertical Jump - 29.5"
  • Broad Jump - 105"
  • 3 Cone Drill - 7.90 seconds
  • 20 yard shuttle - 4.56 seconds
Cordy Glenn, OT/OG Georgia

The Steelers offensive line hasn't been all that good in years. They've been good enough due to the fact that Ben Roethlisberger is a Houdini on the football field, escaping pass rushers and running around like a chicken with it's head cutoff and then making a throw down the field for a big play. But Ben has also taken a lot of sacks over that amount of time, due to a combination of poor offensive line play and Ben's holding onto the ball too long because he doesn't want to give up on the play.

Like I said above, the Steelers have spent two first round draft picks in the past few years on the defensive line. The one time they didn't make a pick that was defensive line they took Maurkice Pouncey, the center on the offensive line and the anchor of the offensive line. Also, last year they took Marcus Gilbert in the second round and he spent most of last season at right tackle, and he is expected to move to left tackle this season. 

One thing that I like about Glenn is that he played both guard and tackle at Georgia and he played both well. He could play either in the NFL, but with the Steelers I see him at guard with Gilbert at left tackle and Willie Colon at right tackle. The offensive line would likely go Gilbert-Glenn-Pouncey-Foster/Legursky-Colon and then if there were injuries to either tackle, Glenn would slide over to that spot which would also save a roster spot for someone else.

This is the player that I hope the Steelers take with the pick. Steve McLendon can fill in at NT until Hampton gets back, so NT isn't as much of a need pick as the offensive line is. 

Glenn's measurements at the Combine:
  • 6'5"
  • 345 lbs.
  • 35 3/4" arm length
  • 10 1/8" hand size
Glenn's workout results at the Combine:
  • 40 Yard Dash - 4.15 secons
  • Bench Press 225 lbs. - 31 reps
  • Vertical Jump - 23.5"
  • Broad Jump - 93"
  • 3 Cone Drill - 8.13 seconds
  • 20 Yard Shuttle - 5 seconds
Dont'a Hightower, ILB Alabama

Inside linebacker is not the biggest need for the Pittsburgh Steelers, but the Steelers are a team that doesn't reach for a player at a need position if they feel there isn't one available that is worth the pick. If the Steelers are sitting at #24 and both Poe and Glenn are gone, it would not surprise me if the Steelers took the MVP of the BCS National Championship Game.

Last season the two starting inside linebackers for the Steelers were Lawrence Timmons and James Farrior, and when Farrior missed time with injury Larry Foote stepped in. Age has finally caught up with Farrior, he has lost a step or two and looked out of place many times last season. Foote is a free agent and while he is good against the run, he has never been very good against the pass. Also, Timmons might possibly be moved to outside linebacker when James Harrison retires. Timmons was originally drafted to plat Harrison's OLB position, but Harrison turned out to be better than anyone could have imagined so Timmons was moved to ILB to take over for Larry Foote. So if that were to happen, then we'd have a really big hole at the inside linebacker position.

Taking Hightower would bolster the middle of the defense a lot. He isn't a candidate to move to the outside so he would be a stalwart at ILB for the Steelers for at least ten years. He is excellent against the run, can blitz from the ILB position, and is a good pass defender in zone and that's exactly what the Steelers would be asking him to do in passing situations. 

If the Steelers do not take him, then it's almost a guarantee that the Baltimore Ravens would take him a few picks later.

Hightower's measurements at the Combine:
  •  6'2"
  • 265 lbs.
  • 32 5/8" arm length
  • 9 3/4" hand size
Hightower's workout results at the Combine:
  • 40 Yard Dash - 4.68 seconds
  • Vertical Jump - 32"
David DeCastro, OG Stanford

This is a long shot, the Steelers would have to trade up into the teens to have a shot at drafting DeCastro. But if the Steelers were to do this, they'd be getting the most pro-ready guard in the draft, probably in the last few years.

DeCastro is strictly a guard prospect, but he's the best interior lineman in the draft. He is explosive off of the snap and gets to his man quickly. He is a good run and pass blocker...but he is inconsistent when finishing his run blocks down field, but it's not a an effort issue and it can be rectified with coaching. 

Like I said, it's a long shot. The Steelers don't often trade up in the draft. They last two times they have done it was in 2003 going from the 27th overall to the 16th overall pick to select safety Troy Polamalu, and in 2006 when they went from #32 overall to the 25th overall selection to take wide receiver Santonio Holmes. So it's not likely that the Steelers will do this, they'd have to find someone that wants to trade back to the 24th overall pick in the first place.

DeCastro's measurements at the Combine:
  • 6'5"
  • 316 lbs.
  • 32 3/8" arm length
  • 10" hands
DeCastro's workout results at the Combine:
  • 40 Yard Dash - 5.43 seconds
  • Ben Press 225 lbs - 34 reps
  • Vertical Jump - 29.5"
  • Broad Jump - 98"
  • 3 Cone Drill - 7.30 seconds (best among offensive linemen)
  • 20 Yard Shuttle - 4.56 seconds (best among offensive linemen)
Mike Adams, OT Ohio State

Like I said before, the Steelers are looking first and foremost to upgrade in the trenches on either side of the ball. Mike Adams is coming out of Ohio State and when he was on the field he was very good, allowing few sacks. However, injuries and a suspension due to being part of the Tat5 scandal kept him off of the field more than he would have liked. 

Coming into the Combine, Adams was looked at as a late first round to early second round draft pick at tackle. However, he had a disappointing performance in the bench press and he isn't considered that good of a run blocker. His pass blocking skills are also in question, it's felt that his footwork and technique was just good enough for him to be good in college but needs a lot of work for him to play left tackle in the NFL so he might be relegated to right tackle. He however does have the size and arm length that teams look for in the League.

I think he's falling out of the first round, but that can change between now and the draft. But in the end, I think he is going to go in the middle of the second round of the draft where he likely won't be relied upon by the team that drafts him for more than depth his rookie season.  If the Steelers go offensive line in the first round, I am not expected them to go offensive line in the second and instead focus on the defense. However if they take a defensive player in the first round, they might try to get Adams in the second.

Adams measurements at the Combine:
  • 6'7"
  • 323 lbs.
  • 34" arm length
  • 10 7/8" hand size
Adams workout results at the Combine:
  • 40 Yard Dash - 5.40 seconds
  • Bench Pres 225 lbs - 19 reps
  • Vertical Jump - 28.6"
  • Broad Jump - 100"
  • 3 Cone Drill - 7.94 seconds
  • 20 Yard Shuttle - 4.95 seconds
These are the players that I feel the Steelers are looking at the hardest with the 24th pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. 

Comments? Questions? Hit up the comment section! Follow me on Twitter @bignastydefense

Monday, February 27, 2012

Who's going to trade up for Griffin III?

Yes, once again, I know this is a Pittsburgh Steelers blog. I know the Steelers are not going to trade up for Robert Griffin III, they don't need a quarterback. However, one trade like the one that's going to happen when the Rams trade the second overall pick can affect the entire draft...and the Browns are a team that could potentially trade up the the #2 overall pick and take him. That has a direct effect on the Steelers, because the Browns are a division rival.

The Rams have former first overall draft pick Sam Bradford as their quarterback and they have reportedly chosen to stick with him and are willing to trade out of the second overall pick. The Rams are likely to be eyeing Oklahoma State wide receiver Justin Blackmon, but they cannot justify taking him with the second overall pick. So they want to trade back, but not so far that Blackmon is out of reach.

So the teams that have the best chance of moving into that second overall spot are the Cleveland Browns (#4 overall pick), Washington Redskins (#6 overall), and Miami Dolphins (#8 overall). So here I am going to take a look at each team.

Cleveland Browns


At the quarterback position the Browns currently have Colt McCoy and Seneca Wallace as their top two quarterbacks. Neither would start on most other NFL rosters. Also, the Browns plays more games in a half empty stadium than I can remember them doing so in a very long time (living in the Cleveland area, I get to see every single one of their games). They didn't have any blackouts, so you know it's bad when the tickets were bought and nobody showed up.

The Browns need to do something to bring some excitement to the team, to create a fan buzz and get them excited about the team again. Fans are losing faith in team President Mike Holmgren, who was released from his General Manager duties with the Seattle Seahawks and told to stick to coaching. Many feel that he's there just relaxing and getting a paycheck, and not earning it.

The Browns could trade the fourth overall pick in the NFL draft and move up to number two and take Griffin III, which would make the fans very excited. Also, with the 22nd overall pick, they could take Baylor wide receiver Kendall Wright, who was Griffin's go-to receiver last season. He's someone that RG3 already has a feel for and would immediately upgrade the Browns' weak receiving corps.

The Browns I think have the best chance to trade up if they want to. The Rams moving into the four spot basically still guarantees them Blackmon, because the team between the Rams and Browns is the Minnesota Vikings, and they will likely be taking one of the top two offensive tackles and aren't likely to trade out of that spot. Trading up the the second overall pick is likely going to cost two first round picks, and the Browns can always use their second first rounder in this draft to move up, leaving them with a first rounder next season. That's something that the other teams in the mix to trade up don't have.

The Browns are a team that I expect to look at Green Bay's free agent quarterback Matt Flynn...even if the Packers choose to hit Flynn with the franchise tag they will then trade him. If that happens, the Browns will be in that mix. If Flynn becomes a free agent, they will make an attempt to sign him since he already has experience in the West Coast Offense and has NFL experience. If the Browns do sign Flynn, they will be out of the Griffin sweepstakes and will pose a threat the the Rams' desire to move out of the second pick, because the Browns would then be looking at Blackmon if they still have the fourth overall pick.

Washington Redskins


The Redskins are another team in need of a top-tier quarterback. Rex Grossman and John Beck both started at times this past season...and to be honest, neither are really viable options for a second string quarterback much less a starter.

The Redskins sit at the sixth overall pick and they know that if they stay there, they have no chance of getting RG3. The problem is, especially if the Browns get Matt Flynn before the draft, then they become a player for Justin Blackmon and the Rams might not trade at all if they have their sights on Blackmon and desire him over anyone else. Also, if the Browns don't trade up and don't get a Flynn and RG3 isn't there...they would still be a player for Blackmon.

Dan Snyder loves making bold moves, and even though he's backed off  allowing General Manager Bruce Allen and Head Coach Mike Shannahan to make the personnel decisions, I don't think Snyder would be able to hold off on making a deal to get Griffin. And this is one case where Allen and Shannahan wouldn't mind Snyder doing so....as long as he doesn't trade the entire draft like the Saints did to draft Ricky Williams.

If the Browns don't trade up, I think the Redskins have the best chance to do it then because Snyder is unpredictable and might just make an offer that blows the Rams away...even if they get a good offer from Cleveland.

The Redskins I think will also be in the Matt Flynn sweepstakes, but I think Snyder (and probably Shannahan) would rather have RG3, even if it's just for the name recognition.

Miami Dolphins


At quarterback the Dolphins have Matt Moore and Pay Devlin (who?) at quarterback. They are not expected to bring back former University of Michigan star Chad Henne. Chad Henne had an up-and-down four year career with the Dolphins, never throwing more touchdowns than interceptions and went down with a separated shoulder and was placed on injured reserve, ending not only his season but his time as Miami Dolphins quarterback.

The Dolphins have been looking for a starting quarterback since Dan Marino retired after the 1999 season. They haven't had much luck, the best quarterback they have probably had since then was Chad Pennington who played just one full season in his three seasons with the team due to injury...but in that one full season (2008) he broke Dan Marino's single season record for completion percentage and lead them to the AFC East title (their first division title since 2000 and their first playoff appearance since the 2001 season).

Stephen Ross is the majority owner of the Dolphins (approximately 95%) while Wayne Huizenga owns about 5% of the team....and then there is an unknown percentage of ownership between eight celebrities. Ross is a guy who wants to make the Dolphins the most popular team in town, and he wants flash. Well, Robert Griffin III would be a guy that would fill the stadium and bring the flash factor.

If the Rams cannot get a good enough deal out of Cleveland or Washington to trade back with them, and if they feel comfortable trading that far back where Blackmon might not be available, then the Dolphins will be taking Griffin.

The Dolphins will also be in the Flynn sweepstakes, but I think along with Washington they'd much rather have RG3 instead of Flynn.

Other Teams Interested


Of course, there are other teams that would like to get that pick and take Robert Griffin III. The teams I think that would love to have that pick but don't have much of a shot at it because the Rams would have to trade back too far are: Kansas City Chiefs, Seattle Seahawks, and the Philadelphia Eagles.

If the Rams don't get a trade offer to their liking, I think they just stay at #2 and take Blackmon there if that's the player that they really want. This way they are guaranteed the player that they want without the risk of trading back and that player being gone when their pick comes around....or trading back to have to trade back up to get Blackmon.

One Other Note


One thing that I heard today was that after the Indianapolis Colts interviewed both Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III while at the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis. They came out of the interviews more impressed with Griffin and have him ranked at the top of their big board.

If this is true and they make RG3 the first overall pick, will the Rams instead select Andrew Luck who is said to be the best quarterback prospect in the draft since Hall of Famer John Elway was drafted back in 1983 (and ironically was drafted first overall by the Colts, but was then traded to the Broncos when Elway threatened to go play baseball for the New York Yankees where he had played two seasons if minor league baseball instead of play for the Colts who were then based in Baltimore....and Elway also played his college football at Stanford)? Right now, they say they are happy with Sam Bradford and will stick with him....but if Luck were to fall to them, they might have to think twice about that stance.

Also, if Luck falls to the Rams...then any team that is in need of a quarterback is going to be sending the Rams trade requests and they could then possibly get one of the best draft day hauls in the history of the NFL Draft.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

My first 2012 Mock Draft

The Super Bowl is over, congrats to the New York Giants. I surely hope Eli Manning tying Big Ben with two Super Bowl rings will light a fire under his ass to get him not just back to the big game, but up on the podium afterwards raising the Lombardi Trophy for the third time in his career.

Now that the season is over, it's time to focus on free agency and the draft. The Steelers almost never make a big splash in free agency other than to sign their own free agents, so I am going to focus more on the draft. So here I am giving you my first round mock for the 2012 NFL Draft.

  1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB Stanford - Colt's Owner Jim Isray fired the Polians and the entire coaching staff after the Colts won just two games the entire season. They are going to rebuild, and they are going to take the quarterback that many say is the best QB prospect since John Elway. The NFL is a quarterback driven league now, and the Colts are going to get who they think is the next great NFL quarterback to replace Peyton Manning who I expect them to trade or release in the very near future.
  2. St. Louis Rams: Justin Blackmon, WR Oklahoma State - Now this is a pick that I think will be traded. It's almost a certainty that the Luck will be gone to the Colts. The next best quarterback prospect in this draft is Baylor's Robert Griffin III. Now I don't predict the trades in my mock drafts because anything can keep them from happening, but if one high pick is going to be traded, it would be this one. The Rams have former first overall pick Sam Bradford at quarterback, but he has little to work with in offensive weapons. Blackmon is the best available receiver and while he may not be worth the #2 overall selection, I have him as the Rams pick. They can trade down a few spots and still get him, so that's why I feel this pick will likely be traded for Griffin III if they can find a suitable trade offer.
  3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT USC - The Vikings need to stabilize their offensive line if they want last year's first round draft pick Christian Ponder, to succeed. His blind side needs protection, and Kalil is the best available tackle not only in the draft, but is likely better than any free agent at the position that is going to hit the market.
  4. Cleveland Browns: Trent Richardson, RB Alabama - Most people have the Browns trading up to take Robert Griffin III, or if they stand pat and stay at #4 that they would take him there if another team doesn't trade in front of them to take him. I think any interest they might have in Griffin III is a smokescreen. The Browns haven't had any luck taking a quarterback in the first round since they came back, Brady Quinn was a bust and Tim Couch couldn't stay healthy. The other issue with Griffin III is that he didn't take snaps under center and if the Browns are going to take a quarterback in the first round, they can't take a guy who needs to learn how to take snaps under center. Also, the quarterback doesn't have any weapons around him, and Griffin III isn't going to be able to make the Browns current receiving options look any better. Richardson isn't a receiver, but he is very good at catching balls out of the backfield, can motion out in a more spread formation as a receiver on short to intermediate routes, and is one hell of a runner. He would be a weapon for whoever the Browns have as a quarterback next season, and I think they try to sign Matt Flynn in free agency to fill the quarterback dilemma.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB LSU - Aquib Talib might be going to jail. Even if he avoids jail time, he might get hit with a significant suspension for even being a suspect in a felony assault with a deadly weapon case. Their other starting cornerback, Ronde Barber, might be retiring this offseason. Even if Barber doesn't retire, he's lost a step or two and the Buccaneers could upgrade the position anyhow. 
  6. Washington Redskins: Robert Griffin III, QB Baylor - The Redskins are a candidate to trade up and take RGIII if they are afraid that Cleveland is going to take him by trading up or sitting pat and taking him at #4. But I think they can still get him by sticking at the #6 overall pick. Rex Grossman and John Beck are the two quarterbacks on the roster with any starting or NFL experience at all. If the Shannahan era is going to be a success, the Redskins need to find a quarterback that can take the team to the playoffs on a consistent basis.
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Riley Reiff, OT Iowa - Last year the Jaguars took Blaine Gabbert as their first round pick. He isn't surrounded by weapons, but the offensive line also lacks protection. It doesn't matter if you have Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens in their primes if the quarterback doesn't have time to make his reads and throw the ball. Last season the Jaguars had Guy Whimper at right tackle, and he was a sieve. His backup was an undrafted rookie, Cameron Bradfield. They could draft Reiff and put him at right tackle, or make him the left tackle and put Eugene Monroe, a former first round pick, at right tackle. Either way, Gabbert has better protection.
  8. Miami Dolphins: Michael Brockers, DT LSU - The Dolphins are not an easy team to mock draft for. They need a quarterback so they might be in the running to move up and take Robert Griffin III, or trade back and try to snag Ryan Tannehill of Texas A&M. I don't see them taking Tannehill at the #8 pick though, but you never know with owner Stephen Ross. Their new head coach, Joe Philbin, wants to switch Miami's defense from a 3-4 to a 4-3. They need more bodies along the defensive line to do so, therefore Brockers fits here.
  9. Carolina Panthers: Devon Still, DT Penn State - The Panthers have two big needs on defense, defensive tackle and cornerback. I would say their bigger need is corner, but the next best CB is Janoris Jenkins, and his character concerns I feel will keep him out of the top ten, possibly the top fifteen. So the next best pick for the Panthers if they go defense is Devon Still, who fills their other biggest defensive need. Jenkins is still a possibility, and if they can trade back into the mid-to-late teens they might do so and take Jenkins there.
  10. Buffalo Bills: Melvin Ingram, DE South Carolina - The current Bills front office is good a telegraphing their draft picks, they talked about taking a running back in 2010 and then took C.J. Spiller. This year, Head Coach Chan Gailey has complained about not being able to get a pass rush. They didn't have a player finish the 2011 season with more than 5.5 sacks this season. Ingram isn't the prototypical defensive end with his height and arm length, but he has tremendous explosion off the line of scrimmage and has a great motor. The Bills and wide receiver Stevie Johnson are reportedly "far apart" in contract negotiations, so wide receiver Michael Floyd of Notre Dame is also a possibility here.
  11. Kansas City Chiefs: Jonathan Martin, OT Stanford - The Chiefs current right tackle is Barry Richardson, and he isn't very good in pass protection. The Chiefs will likely be starting  Matt Cassel at quarterback, though they can resign Kyle Orton and let them battle for the starting job in training camp.  No matter what the do at the quarterback position, the guy is going to need protection, so I think they go with Martin. Another possible pick on the offensive line would be Stanford's David DeCastro, a guard. One of their unrestricted free agents is wide receiver Dwayne Bowe, so Michael Floyd or Baylor's Kendall Wright could be an option here also.
  12. Seattle Seahawks: Quinton Couples, DE North Carolina: The Seahawks pass rush was weak last season, finishing in the bottom ten in sacks. They play in a division with two number one overall picks (San Francisco's Alex Smith and St. Louis' Sam Bradford). If they want to be in the mix for the division crown or a wild card spot in the near future, they need to get to the quarterback. Couples, while he lacked effort at times last season, has all the talent to be a premier rush end in the NFL. Pete Carroll believes that he can coach anyone up and that his rah-rah style will get anyone to play hard. 
  13. Arizona Cardinals: David DeCastro, G Stanford - The Cardinals need to upgrade their offensive front. They are going to be paying big money to a quarterback (either Peyton Manning or Kevin Kolb) and he needs protected. They are also going to be a team that runs the ball a decent amount of the time with Beanie Wells, who is an inside runner so DeCastro helps in that regard also. This is rather high for a guard, but DeCastro is going to be a damn good interior offensive lineman that can pass protect and run block.
  14. Dallas Cowboys: Janoris Jenkins, CB North Alabama: He has multiple arrests on his record, but since being kicked out of school at Florida he has seemed to clean up his act. Jerry Jones is willing to look past off the field discrepancies if you've got a lot of talent, and Jenkins has talent. The defensive backfield in Dallas is a complete mess and needs multiple upgrades. Mike Jenkins was awful last season and Terrance Newman isn't the player he once was. While Mike Jenkins might get a mulligan seeing how he's a recent first round pick, Newman might be gone this offseason.
  15. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Kuechly, MLB Boston College: Last year, the "Dream Team" was more of a nightmare. A big part of their defensive problem was that their linebackers couldn't stop a nosebleed most of the season. Kuechly would fix part of that problem at the middle linebacker position. If the Eagles sign Stephen Tulloch in free agency, I see them taking Kendall Wright or Michael Floyd here to replace DeSean Jackson who they will either let walk in free agency or franchise tag and then trade, either way I don't see Jacskon on the Eagles next season.
  16. New York Jets: Courtney Upshaw, OLB Alabama - The Jets need to upgrade their pass rush, and the MVP of the BCS National Championship Game already knows the 3-4 defense since that's what Alabama runs. Bringing him in doesn't only bring a very good pass rusher to the Jets so they don't have to constantly blitz to get pressure, he's also strong against the run. 
  17. Cincinnati Bengals (from Oakland): Dre Kirkpatrick, CB Alabama - The second straight Alabama player taken, he fills a need for the Bengals. Nate Clements was inconsistent and is a free agent after the 2012 season anyhow. Leon Hall tore his Achilles and isn't going to be ready to start the 2012 season, and it's not clear when he might finally be able to take the field and how effective he will be this season. Kirkpatrick's marijuana possession charges have been dropped, but the Bengals wouldn't worry about that anyhow, character concerns aren't a big deal in Cincinnati.
  18. San Diego Chargers: Mark Barron, SS Alabama - Yes, another member of the Crimson Tide to make it three straight. Barron fills a need for a secondary that needs some help. They rolled the dice on Bob Sanders last season, and as sure as the sun rises in the east, Sanders ended up on injured reserve. He is also an unrestricted free agent and likely won't be resigned. Barron is the best safety in the draft and should be the pick here for the Chargers.
  19. Chicago Bears: Michael Floyd, WR Notre Dame - The Bears don't really have that go-to guy at wide receiver. They tried Roy Williams last season and he didn't really work out all that great. He's a free agent and probably won't be coming back to da Bears. Jay Cutler was at his best when he had Brandon Marshall to throw to in Denver. The Bears will likely be franchising running back Matt Forte, and if they don't he might sign elsewhere, forcing them to become even more of a passing offense. To do that, Cutler needs that go-to receiver and Floyd can definitely be that.
  20. Tennessee Titans: Whitney Mercilus, DE Illinois - The Titans play in a division with Peyton Manning (who is likely going to be traded or released and replaced with first overall pick Andrew Luck), Matt Schaub, and first round draft pick Blaine Gabbert. They need to bolster their pass rush and Mercilus fits the type of defensive end the Titans like. He's a very good pass rusher and should lead the team in sacks on an annual basis. Derrick Morgan looked bad last season and even if he turns out to be a good player, there still isn't anyone that good across from him. 
  21. Cincinnati Bengals: Lamar Miller, RB Miami - The Bengals are a team that likes to target specific positions per round, and running back is also a need. They took a corner with the pick they got from the Bengals, with their second pick I think they go offense. Cedric Benson is their current running back, but he's not the back he was in 2009, he has had fewer and fewer rushing yards from 2009 to 2011. He's about to hit the age of 30, and that's where running backs really seem to hit a wall. He's also never scored more than seven touchdowns in a season and doesn't seem to be able to break the long runs anymore. The past two seasons, he hasn't averaged 4.0 yards a carry. Miller would bring not only youth to the position, he is a threat to score every single time he touches the ball. Last season with Miami he had seven 100+ yard games and nine touchdowns. 
  22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta): Kendall Wright, WR Baylor - The Browns don't have any offensive weapons. Even if they take RGIII in the top four, he still doesn't have anyone to throw to. And if they don't take RGIII, then whoever ends up being their quarterback doesn't have anyone to throw to. SO Wright makes sense here no matter what they do with their first pick. If they don't take Wright, Mike Adams of Ohio State would be an option, they need a right tackle to help protect whoever their QB is.
  23. Detroit Lions: Nick Perry, DE USC - Yes, the Lions for the third straight season take a defensive lineman in the first round. Their biggest need on offense is running back, and there isn't anyone worth taking at this juncture. They also play in a division with league MVP Aaron Rogers, Jay Cutler, and first round pick Christian Ponder in the division. Head Coach Jim Schwartz is a defensive minded head coach, and his defensive line loves to get to the quarterback and just wreak havoc. Cliff Avril doesn't want the franchise tag, and if they give it to him but still can't reach a long-term deal, they will be looking for his replacement next spring anyhow. Kyle Vanden Bosch is on the wrong side of 30 years old, and nobody knows how much longer he's going to play at a good level. 
  24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Cordy Glenn, G Georgia - The Steelers will likely be releasing Chris Kemoeatu this offseason for various reasons. The Steelers need to get under the salary cap and releasing Kemo would save them around $3.5M...not to mention he was benched twice last season and is a complete bonehead. He's good for at least three stupid penalties a game, either holding when there was no reason to, a false start at the worst possible time, or an unnecessary roughness penalty. The Steelers need to protect Ben Roethlisberger, and Glenn can also blow open holes in the run game for Isaac "Redzone" Redman who will be the starting running back with Rashard Mendenhall tearing his ACL in the season finale against the Cleveland Browns. It's unknown when Mendenhall would be able to play next season nor how effective he would be when he comes back. Another route the Steelers could go, especially if Glenn isn't there for some reason is Alabama inside linebacker Dont'a Hightower, who played in the 3-4 in college and fills a need with James Farrior losing probably two steps at 37 years old.
  25. Denver Broncos: Jerel Worthy, DT Michigan State - Brodrick Bunkley had a very good year as a run stuffer, but the second defensive tackle position left a lot to be desired. Worthy would be able to come in and be a big help on the defensive line. He didn't have great sack numbers in his career at Michigan State, but he was disruptive and got a lot of QB pressures, forcing the quarterback to pass before he wanted to. He also has a mean streak that could bring a violent mentality to the Denver defense. He's got the potential to be a very, very good defensive tackle with his athletic ability.
  26. Houston Texans: Mohamed Sanu, WR Rutgers - The Texans are likely to resign running back Arian Foster, and allow outside linebacker/defensive end Mario Williams walk in free agency. Last season, Andre Johnson missed a good chunk of time with a hamstring injury and they don't have much across from him anyhow. I think the Texans take Sanu, who could come in and take the #2 receiver spot in training camp, and gives their offense an even better passing game...and opens things up even more for Arian Foster and the running game. 
  27. New England (from New Orleans): Fletcher Cox, DT Mississippi State - The Patriots had the worst defense in the league last season. The Albert Haynesworth experiment was a waste of time, but it seems that the Patriots are sticking with the 4-3 as their base defense. Even if they switch back to the 3-4, Cox can play defensive end in that system. Put him next to Vince Wilfork and the Patriots will have a strong interior defensive line that can stuff the run and cause some havoc for the quarterback.
  28. Green Bay Packers: Alfonzo Dennard, CB Nebraska - The Packers defense didn't have nearly as good of a year this season as they did in their 2010 Super Bowl Championship season. They weren't awful, but the offense really carried the team during the regular season.Their best corner is Charles Woodson who is just an absolute beast, however he is 35 years old and nobody knows how long he can play at this high level. Tramon Williams plays across from him and is a good corner, but behind him would be Sam Shields who might not be starter quality. Drafting Dennard would give the Packers insurance if they lose either Woodson or Williams to injury, and he would become a starter when Woodson's play falls off. 
  29. Baltimore Ravens: Dont'a Hightower, ILB Alabama - I hate this pick for the Ravens, not because Hightower isn't a very good player, but because he'd be going to the Baltumore Ravens. Ray Lewis is still playing at a high level, but nobody knows when his career is going to drop off, he's going to be 37 when the season starts and the drop off could be sudden. Even if Lewis plays very well for another couple of seasons, Hightower can step in immediately at the other ILB spot and be a force while also being tutored by Lewis who is a future Hall of Famer. 
  30. San Francisco 49ers: Alshon Jeffery, WR South Carolina - The 49ers narrowly missed the Super Bowl this season. Alex Smith should get a long-term contract to play quarterback for the 49ers this offseason. If he doesn't, then the 49ers would likely hand the reigns over to Colin Kaepernick. No matter who is playing quarterback for the 2012 49ers, they need more weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Michael Crabtree hasn't been all that impressive, their most consistent receiver has been their right end Vernon Davis. They released Braylon Edwards during the season after he spent most of his time on the team with a knee injury. Ted Ginn, Jr. isn't even a #2 receiver, and is a free agent that might not be retained. The other options for the #2 receiver role aren't all that impressive either. Jeffery could step in and start this season, he's a big body for the QB to target and would give another dimension to their passing offense. Rumor however, has it that he's ballooned up and is running a 40-yard dash time of around 4.8 seconds...so if that's true he won't be picked until sometime in the second round by someone. But until I see his numbers from the NFL Scouting Combine, I will keep him here at the end of the first round.
  31. New England Patriots: Vinny Curry, DE/OLB Marshall - New England is still going to be focusing on defense with this pick, and they need someone who can rush the passer. Curry cannot only play a rush DE in the 4-3, but he can also play rush OLB in the 3-4 and the Patriots still run a hybrid defense though the 4-3 has become their base defense. Curry fits the need at both positions though, so he saves them a roster spot. Bellichick could also trade this pick to move back a few spots into the second round and still take Curry there.
  32. New York Giants: Dwayne Allen, TE Clemson - Jerry Reese's philosophy has normally been to take the best player available, and Allen would fit that description and also is a need. Jake Ballard played well last season, but he tore his ACL in the Super Bowl and nobody knows when he will play in 2012, if at all. Allen would fit well with the Giants offense and Ballard could have been upgraded anyhow and would still be a good option in two tight end sets.
Comments? Agree? Disagree? Feel free to post in the comment section and let me know what you think.